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A projection is not a promise.

Visits, conversions and revenue are projected from observed trend and seasonality, and every projection is shown as a range rather than a single figure. The output describes what the current trend implies, nothing more. When the actual result leaves the range, the brief says so and the model is refitted.

In practice

Demo data

Are we going to reach the revenue number this month?

On the current trend, month-end revenue projects to roughly €96,000, in a range of €88,000 to €104,000, against a target of €100,000. The projection assumes the paid campaign ending on the 24th is not renewed.

How it helps

What Forecasts gives you

1

The range is the answer

Every projection carries an interval and the history it was fitted on. A month-end number quoted without its range is the part of forecasting that gets people into trouble.

2

Forecasts are scored afterwards

Past projections stay visible beside what actually happened, so you can see where the model runs hot or cold. A forecast nobody checks is just a number in a confident font.

3

Known events beat the curve

Business-defined events — a sale, a campaign end date, an invoicing cycle — are inputs rather than surprises. Where a period has no comparable history, the projection is labelled weak.

Evidence

Nothing here asks you to take its word for it.

Every explanation resolves to the metric, segment and period it used, alongside the alternatives it ruled out and the limits of what it can establish. The analytics engine computes the numbers; the AI explains what came back.

Demo data

Evidence

Mobile pricing conversion fell 27%.

Why Reveliqo says that

Traffic volume remained within its normal range. The decline is concentrated on iPhone Safari and begins 18 minutes after deployment #842.

Before deployment
4.1%
After deployment
3.0%
Visits analysed
3,481
Difference
−26.8%
Metric
conversion_rate
Segment
device_class = mobile · browser_family = Safari · page = /pricing
Period
Yesterday 14:00 – today 09:00, compared with the preceding seven days

Strong correlation with deployment #842. Causation has not been proven — a controlled comparison would be needed for that.

Connect a site today. Read tomorrow's brief instead of building it.

Connect a site and the first brief arrives with the day's changes already explained — traffic separated from bots, conversions attached to revenue, and the evidence behind every sentence one click away.

Real people separated from bots Every answer shows its evidence Reveliqo runs on Reveliqo