Intelligence
A projection is not a promise.
Visits, conversions and revenue are projected from observed trend and seasonality, and every projection is shown as a range rather than a single figure. The output describes what the current trend implies, nothing more. When the actual result leaves the range, the brief says so and the model is refitted.
In practice
Demo dataAre we going to reach the revenue number this month?
On the current trend, month-end revenue projects to roughly €96,000, in a range of €88,000 to €104,000, against a target of €100,000. The projection assumes the paid campaign ending on the 24th is not renewed.
How it helps
What Forecasts gives you
The range is the answer
Every projection carries an interval and the history it was fitted on. A month-end number quoted without its range is the part of forecasting that gets people into trouble.
Forecasts are scored afterwards
Past projections stay visible beside what actually happened, so you can see where the model runs hot or cold. A forecast nobody checks is just a number in a confident font.
Known events beat the curve
Business-defined events — a sale, a campaign end date, an invoicing cycle — are inputs rather than surprises. Where a period has no comparable history, the projection is labelled weak.
Evidence
Nothing here asks you to take its word for it.
Every explanation resolves to the metric, segment and period it used, alongside the alternatives it ruled out and the limits of what it can establish. The analytics engine computes the numbers; the AI explains what came back.
Evidence
Mobile pricing conversion fell 27%.
Why Reveliqo says that
Traffic volume remained within its normal range. The decline is concentrated on iPhone Safari and begins 18 minutes after deployment #842.
- Before deployment
- 4.1%
- After deployment
- 3.0%
- Visits analysed
- 3,481
- Difference
- −26.8%
- Metric
- conversion_rate
- Segment
- device_class = mobile · browser_family = Safari · page = /pricing
- Period
- Yesterday 14:00 – today 09:00, compared with the preceding seven days
Strong correlation with deployment #842. Causation has not been proven — a controlled comparison would be needed for that.
Intelligence
The rest of the intelligence layer
Briefings
Scheduled daily, weekly, monthly, campaign and executive briefs built on the product's own metric definitions.
Read moreAnomaly detection
Watches people, revenue, performance, traffic quality and funnels against context-aware baselines.
Read moreRoot cause
Decomposition that names the segment carrying the change, not just the headline.
Read moreOpportunities
Segments, pages and sources performing unusually well, and where more would plausibly pay.
Read moreForecasts
Projections the metrics layer computes from observed trend, with the range, the assumptions and the limits stated in the explanation.
Read moreExplain this
Any figure, chart point, funnel step or segment can be opened and questioned.
Read moreCompare periods
Answers whether a change is real movement or a different mix of traffic.
Read moreBusiness questions
A library of the questions businesses actually ask, with the analysis behind each.
Read moreThe other intelligence capabilities are listed above.
Connect a site today. Read tomorrow's brief instead of building it.
Connect a site and the first brief arrives with the day's changes already explained — traffic separated from bots, conversions attached to revenue, and the evidence behind every sentence one click away.
Real people separated from bots Every answer shows its evidence Reveliqo runs on Reveliqo